The following graph (on page 267) describes the collapse of exports 1929 -1932. From a Chilean perspective the magnitude of the drop is particularly impressive.
Copper prices are believed to be a leading indicator of economic health. We endeavour to verify this hypothesis through quantitative analysis thereby also focussing on the economies of Chile (principal producer) and China (principal consumer). We do believe in mean reversion although we acknowledge that imbalances can persist for very long times and that market structures can change permanently.
Tuesday, December 10, 2013
Impact of 1930´s depression on Chile´s Economy
Just re-read a chapter of Reinhart & Rogoff´s "This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly" (obviously I´m aware of the calculation errors, in my view it is still a tremendously valuable book).
The following graph (on page 267) describes the collapse of exports 1929 -1932. From a Chilean perspective the magnitude of the drop is particularly impressive.
The following graph (on page 267) describes the collapse of exports 1929 -1932. From a Chilean perspective the magnitude of the drop is particularly impressive.
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